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Computational analysis of stochastic epidemic model, 2005

 Item — Call Number: MU Thesis Agn
Identifier: b2088720

Scope and Contents

From the Collection:

The collection consists of theses written by students enrolled in the Monmouth University graduate Software Engineering program. The holdings are bound print documents that were submitted in partial fulfillment of requirements for the Master of Science degree.

Dates

  • Creation: 2005

Creator

Conditions Governing Access

The collection is open for research use. Access is by appointment only.

Access to the collection is confined to the Monmouth University Library and is subject to patron policies approved by the Monmouth University Library.

Collection holdings may not be borrowed through interlibrary loan.

Research appointments are scheduled by the Monmouth University Library Archives Collections Manager (723-923-4526). A minimum of three days advance notice is required to arrange a research appointment for access to the collection.

Patrons must complete a Researcher Registration Form and provide appropriate identification to gain access to the collection holdings. Copies of these documents will be kept on file at the Monmouth University Library.

Extent

1 Items (print book) : 57 pages ; 8.5 x 11.0 inches (28 cm).

Language of Materials

English

Abstract

Every time there is an epidemic outbreak in some part of the world, billions of dollars are being set aside in anticipation of it spreading to the rest of the world. Various government and non government agencies mobilize resources to prevent and control the expansion of the epidemic by curbing ingress and egress of people from infected location, by launching vaccinations programs and quarantining the suspected. In order to achieve success in their efforts, they need to know what is the window available to them for vaccination, which immigrants should be quarantined and after how long they should anticipate first full blown case.

In this thesis we have developed a software model named "Epimodel" to help those agencies make their preparations. Epimodel simulates an epidemic by mapping the population through seven different states and by tracking the movement population from one state to another using Markov chain. The model has been developed to do the "what-if" analysis by varying the different parameters in an epidemic like rate of contagion, rate of immunization etc. An attempt also has been made to compare the Epimodel with Susceptible Infected Exposed Recovered (SIER) models for outbreak of measles epidemic.

Partial Contents

1. Introduction -- 2. Background -- 3. Epimodel -- 4. Computational implementation of the Epimodel -- 5. Comparison of Epimodel and SEIR model -- 6. Analysis of Epimodel results -- 7. Conclusion -- Bibliography -- Appendix I. Conversion of floats to whole numbers -- Appendix II. Table of figures -- Appendix III. List of tables.

Repository Details

Part of the Monmouth University Library Archives Repository

Contact:
Monmouth University Library
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732-923-4526